Energy Systems Consulting, Inc.

RAMELEC

RAMELEC is an electricity reliability assessment model that computes the frequency and magnitude of capacity shortages that might be expected in an area given assumptions about supply and demand. Using Monte Carlo simulation, the model determines the outages of generating units for each hour in the study. The difference between the demand forecast and the supply forecast for each simulation provides the probabilistic estimate of supply shortages.

The Impact of Wholesale Electricity Price Controls on California Summer Reliability (June 2001) (PDF, 136 KB)

2001 Summer Special Assessment (an in-depth independent examination of the expected summer conditions in California and the Pacific Northwest) (May 2001) (PDF, 136 KB)